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Defensa y Justicia Vélez Sarsfield betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This clash marks the meeting between two teams that have been campaigning not very different so far within the Argentine Championship, although they are separated by nine positions in the qualifying table. The home team has four points more than the opponent and has been standing out in the attacks by the sides and the efficiency in the end, while its defense fails in various aspects, especially in the coverage of the sides, also suffering with kicks from outside area. Vélez Sársfield has been inaccurate at the time of finishing, but its defense stands out in defensive set pieces and tackles. However, by having a good offensive power and playing in its domains, it is a good option to bet on the victory of Defensa y Justicia.
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Preview
Defensa y Justicia and Vélez Sarsfield meet at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, in a match for the 13th round of the Primera División. In 4 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 3 and lost 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 24‑01‑2017, and ended in a (2‑3) win by Defensa y Justicia. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 10th and 19th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 17th best team in home matches and the 18th best in away matches.

Analysis Def y Justicia

After 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 18 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against San Martín San Juan by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (3‑2) at home, against Godoy Cruz. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 9 points in away matches, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded, against 9 points won at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home loss against Rivadavia Necochea by (1‑3). In the last 6 home league matches Defensa y Justicia has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 9 points out of 18 possible.

They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 12 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Defensa y Justicia has in that exhibition the chance to add its third successive home victory for the Argentine Championship, and thus to compensate the defeats that accumulates away from home, although in that condition it has equal number of positive and negative results. In the last round, the team had a good performance, and even finished more than triple the opponent's times, but was not efficient and ended up defeated away from home by San Martin de San Juan. The offensive performance in this confrontation contrasts with what the team has been presenting throughout the competition, since it has the second best attack. In contrast, the defense has been acting in an inconsistent manner, being among the five most leaked. It is believed to be 4-2-3-1 the tactical formation used by the coach, with highlight for Delgado on the left side.

Confirmed Lineup: Ezequiel Unsain, Dylan Gissi, Rafael Delgado, Santiago Zurbriggen, Lisandro Martínez, Franco Cristaldo, Andrés Cubas, Leonel Miranda, Nicolás Fernández, Ciro Rius, Fernando Márquez.
Coach: J. Vaccari.

Analysis Vélez

The away team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Olimpo, by (3‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Lanús, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches and 9 at their stadium, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded at home, against 3 goals scored and 6 conceded in away matches. In the last 6 away league matches Vélez Sarsfield has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Their offense hasn’t been one of their best features, as they haven’t scored any goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 17 of the last 35 matches have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 12 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Vélez Sársfield faces the second of three consecutive appearances away from home in the Argentine Championship, and is a little less pressured after having managed to stop the fast of victories, which lasted four rounds. In the last round, after coming back to win, the team faced Lanús away from home and managed to add a goalless draw in a game where it finished almost four times more than the opponent, but was not very efficient. As has been evident, especially in the last rounds, the offensive sector has been one of the team's major problems since it failed to score goals on eight occasions and is among the worst in the competition. Playing away from home, the team won less than a third of the points played, and in that condition scored only three goals. The 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 should be the tactical formation used for that clash, which will not have the presence of defender Grillo, due to suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Cesar Rigamonti, Hernán De La Fuente, Luis Abram, Joaquín Laso, Marco Torsiglieri, Lucas Robertone, Santiago Cáseres, Nicolás Domínguez, Matías Vargas, Agustín Bouzat, Luis Amarilla.
Coach: M. Bravo.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Def y Justicia vs Vélez match, on 27 January 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Def y Justicia wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Def y Justicia vs Vélez on 27 January 2018 will be played at Florencio Varela, Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Def y Justicia Vélez match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Def y Justicia at with 43% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2017/2018

  • 100% 378 / 378 Games

  • Home team wins 44.44%
  • Draws 27.78%
  • Away team wins 27.78%
  • Over 1.5 66.14%
  • Over 2.5 38.89%
  • Over 3.5 20.9%
  • Goals 854
  • Goals /match 2.26
  • Goals /match home 1.29
  • Goals /match away 0.97
  • Both teams score 42.33%
  • Goals after 80' 17.8%
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