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Borussia Dortmund Freiburg betting prediction


Preview
Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg meet at Signal‑Iduna‑Park, in a match for the 20th round of the Bundesliga. These teams have tied (0‑0) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 09‑09‑2017. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 4. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 23‑09‑2016, Borussia Dortmund won by (3‑1). P. Aubameyang (45' ), Ł. Piszczek (53' ) and Raphaël Guerreiro (90' ) scored for Borussia Dortmund and M. Philipp (60' ) for Freiburg. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 5th and 12th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 13th best team in home matches and the 14th best in away matches.

Analysis of Borussia Dortmund

After 8 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 30 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Hertha BSC by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against Wolfsburg. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 16 points in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 11 conceded, against 14 points won at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 9 home league matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 19 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 7 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Borussia Dortmund went through a difficult time from the eighth round of this season's Bundesliga, reaching eight matches without a win, a time when it suffered five defeats but has managed to recover and is now undefeated for four games, out of which has won two. In its last clash, the team had a slight superiority to Hertha Berlin, having missed a few passes and finished with 62% possession, but did not show much efficiency and added only a draw away from home. Although still having the second best attack of the competition, the team has been showing some worsening in this aspect, adding only one goal in the last two games. Playing at home, the team owns the sixth worst campaign, and in that condition has one of five more leaked defenses. It is likely that the coach will organize the team in 4-3-3, without great embezzlement for this duel.

Confirmed Lineup: R. Bürki, Ł. Piszczek, J. Toljan, S. Papastathopoulos, Ö. Toprak, N. Şahin, G. Castro, S. Kagawa, C. Pulisic, J. Sancho, P. Aubameyang.

Analysis of Freiburg

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 5 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Eintracht Frankfurt, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against RB Leipzig, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches and 17 at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 26 conceded in away matches. In the last 9 away league matches Freiburg has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 19 matches for the Bundesliga, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

Freiburg suffered three consecutive defeats in a period when it accumulate five rounds without winning but has managed to recover from the German Championship and is now undefeated for seven matches, having won four of them. In the last round, the team did not have a great performance, finishing with 41% of possession, having missed many passes, but showed greater offensive efficiency and managed to win, after letting RB Leipzig open the scoring. Although it has shown some improvement in this area, the defensive sector of the team still remains among the most leaked of the competition, alongside Koln and Mainz. Another weak point of the team has been possession of the ball, which has the worst league average. The coach has often changed the tactical scheme of the team, but should keep Koch as a reference in the midfield.

Confirmed Lineup: R. Gikiewicz, L. Kübler, C. Günter, M. Kempf, M. Gulde, Ç. Söyüncü, R. Koch, A. Abrashi, J. Haberer, N. Petersen, L. Höler.
Coach: C. Streich.

Betting suggestion:

This bout puts face-to-face two teams that have been campaigning somewhat different so far within the German Championship. While Borussia Dortmund is still in the top six, Freiburg appears in the second half of the qualifying table. The home team tends to attack from the flanks, standing in counter-attacks and individual plays, showing a lot of precision when finishing, but its defense has still given a lot of space to the opponent, failing especially in containing counter-attacks. Freiburg has difficulty maintaining possession of the ball and also at the time of finishing, while its defense fails in the coverage of the sides and in the interception of kicks from outside the area. So by playing at home and having a good attack, it is a good option to bet on the victory of Borussia Dortmund.
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Frequently asked questions

👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Borussia Dortmund Freiburg match?

The tip and bet suggestion for the Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg match, on 27 January 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Malaysia, goes to: Borussia Dortmund wins ⇒ odd 1.40 at bet365.

👉 In which stadium will the Borussia Dortmund Freiburg be played?

The Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg on 27 January 2018 will be played at Dortmund, Signal-Iduna-Park.

👉 Which is the most voted bet for this match?

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Malaysia, for the Borussia Dortmund Freiburg match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Borussia Dortmund at with 95% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2017/2018

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.42%
  • Draws 27.12%
  • Away team wins 27.45%
  • Over 1.5 78.76%
  • Over 2.5 51.96%
  • Over 3.5 30.72%
  • Goals 855
  • Goals /match 2.79
  • Goals /match home 1.6
  • Goals /match away 1.19
  • Both teams score 54.9%
  • Goals after 80' 15.09%
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